Thursday, January 24, 2013

Insightful Comment

This is one insightful and helpful comment.  These are the types of things I need to question myself on, in order to get better.  It's nice to have a little guidance as well from somebody that clearly has a better grasp on the game.  I never considered when I started this blog that I would get this kind of help from others.  I started it hoping to advance my game and give a few people something to read if they wanted to follow along.  Advise is definitely welcome.  Thank you FlushDraww!  
 
Hello Mirk hope your day is going well. By the way if you don't like being called Mirk let me know lol. Several ppoints I want to make on your recent posts so I thought I would get to them all here. First off I love your blog. Constant updates and I tend to enjoy the blogs most of those who are in similar poker situations as I am in.

Mirk is fine.  Thanks for the words of encouragement on the blog.

Your post titled "Changing The Rules" you posted your plans as far as buy-ins depending opn what the bankroll is. I think you need to rethink this. Under current circumstances I understand your need to short stack as you do, but if your a solid player evan at 6 max there is no reason why 30 or 40 buy-ins should not be plenty. When you hit $160 you should be buying in full and always keeping a full stack on the table at all times. You are risking value by not having a full stack on the table when you hit the monster hands or even the AA and KK hands where a Laggy type will call an all in with top pair top kicker. I run on a 40 buy-in system myself and you might want to consider the same.

Great points on this.  I had similar thoughts on this and was going to go to the 40 buy in system once I made the 10.00 NL level.  I will take your advice and start buying in full once I hit 160.00 and stick with it through 4.00 NL.  This will also help me get accustomed to playing with a full stack prior to reaching 10.00 NL. 

The 50 cenjt SNGs...... I believe they are called the Fast 50s. If you can do well at them then it's all good, but remember a 20% fee which those have, if we are talking the same thing, makes sustaining a profit difficult at best and you will need a higher ITM percentage just to sustain a 15-20% ROI.

That .10 fee for a .50 game is crazy.  I was just playing a few of them to keep my sng fix at bay while my bankroll was less than desirable.  Luckily I did good at those.  This is a game I rarely play do to the fact that its a 20% fee.  Most of the time I play the pilchard 1.10 18 man if I'm going to do a sng.

Congrats on your good fortunes at the casino. That is always nothing but fun.

What poker software are you currently using? Is it Poker Tracker? What is your sample size and VPIP/PFR/3bet preflop and AFq numbers. Also if you posted some of your hand histories here on the blog perhaps we could get into some good discussions about them. 

I am using Poker Tracker.  I figured out I had to have it to be able to play cash games and saw the advantages of it helping me to understand my own game.  I purchased it this month, after I had a 1 month trial in December.  I'm still learning to use it effectively, but it has helped a ton already even though my results are not in the positive yet.

My VPIP after 10000 hands is 31%.  I have been experimenting a lot :D  It will be going down a little as I have narrowed down the range of the hands I will play.  My PFR is low at 9.6 according to the analasys I ran last night.  My 3 bet is at 5.32.  AFq is 38.39.  I think it is lower than usual do to my larger starting hand range and folding after the flop.  Playing lots of hands and folding on the flop doesn't seem to be profitable as my money won without showdown takes a huge hit.

I will post some hand histories on here.  It'd be great to get some perspective on some hands I struggle with as well as hands I think I played correctly or incorrectly.

And finally you stated that after 1000 hands you were back to even. Why not call it a night right then and there? Did you have something inside told you you had to turn a profit? Many times I face the same thing and after that many hands played if I am able to reboiund it I will call it a night. That very thing happened to me last night. Dropped a buy-in and a half to 2 buy-ins and after 900+ hands I got it back to only 24 cents down and decided good enough, time to call it a night. 

I was playing until Midnight when I started.  I considered quitting at the 1000 hand mark and calling it a night but I had already quit early twice this month with a profit so I figured I could keep going until midnight.  Might have been a good move to stop, but I had the chance to get in some volume and took it.  I have found that it's better for me to either set a stop time or a certain amount of hands to quit at, before I start playing.  If I do have a profit or a loss and start to think that I can't improve on either I may call it a night at that point.

The KK vs AA is tough to swallow, but did you have information available that told you you were up against AA in any of these situations? If your using PT for example are you using a HUD? If you are and you see that that Villain only 3 bets preflop 2% of the time you know he is doing it with AA only. I have seen players just like this and sometimes you have to find a fold preflop. Were you the one that shoved preflopnwith the KK? was it against a raise or a 3bet? Sometimes I find if I am 3 bet with KK and I just flat him then if an Ace hits that flop I have a way out of the hand cheaper than my entire stack.

Nice tip on the 3 bet read.  The only thing that told me they had Aces was that I had Kings.  Not really.  I don't remember what their 3 bet %'s were now.  I still don't know if I would have found that fold button.  Even after losing KK to AA 4 times in the last 2 days of play I only show a loss of 2.00 out of the 11 times I've had KK.  I hardly ever push with KK unless I think it will get a call with a worse hand.  They will fold lesser hands and I would lose out on my best chances of profit for the night.  It was an anomaly that the same scenario happened 3 times in less than a few minutes.

The JJ hand where you flopped a set and got runner runnered. Was it a wet flop? Did you pot bet that flop and if the turn was a scary card shove that turn to make them pay to chaase? This is also why short stacking hurts you. The amount you are able to put in to try to chase them off these hands sometimes is just not enough to send them a serious message.

It wasn't a wet flop, 2 low cards and a J.  I bet expecting to take it down on the flop.  The turn was a face card so I bet pot thinking I would take it down there.  He went all in and I insta called.  The river brought the dreaded Ace.  With that flop I didn't see that coming.  I thought maybe he might have lower trips or a AJ.  He was on a complete whiff until the river came.  I'd like to know his thought process in that hand.  He had to have thought I had a single pair or less.  

I am definately seeing your point with the stack size.  I was half buy in at this point and he might have thought he had nothing to lose.

Hope we get an opportunity to have some good in depth poker talks if you would like. Best of luck at the tables and play well.

That sounds great.  Two minds are better than one, as they say.  Besides if we don't get in some good talks I'll always wonder WWFDD? 

2 comments:

  1. You said:
    "My VPIP after 10000 hands is 31%. I have been experimenting a lot :D It will be going down a little as I have narrowed down the range of the hands I will play. My PFR is low at 9.6 according to the analasys I ran last night. My 3 bet is at 5.32. AFq is 38.39."

    If you were a regular at my tables and I see you with a VPIP of 31 I am going to be taking many pots from you with a simple 3 bet because I know you have less than premium holdings. Your 31/9/5/38AFq will not get you paid off by me I will tell you this. The 38AFq well only 38 times out of 100 do you make an aggressive move postflop. Bottom line, if your betting, I know you hit something and can easily leave the hand giving you minimal profit. I checked PT and we only have 45 hands against one another and in those 45 you are 25% VPIP and...... 2% PFR. Instantly this is telling me your raising with only big cards and you limping in with way too many. I have 11,821 hands this month. My numbers are 18:VPIP 14:PFR 3b:4 but my overall AFq is 45 with a flop AFq of 47.

    You said:
    I was playing until Midnight when I started. I considered quitting at the 1000 hand mark and calling it a night but I had already quit early twice this month with a profit so I figured I could keep going until midnight.

    Don't rely on PT for what I am about to suggest because depending on what time you start at the tables could skew the results, but for the next week or ten days you play, on a piece of papaer jot down 1 hour time frames and what you profit or losses were during that time frame. 6pm-7pm.....7pm-8pm etc. You may find that as it gets later into the evening that your stuggles are increasing. Me I personally am done with cash games on or before 10pm.


    You said:
    I am definately seeing your point with the stack size. I was half buy in at this point and he might have thought he had nothing to lose.

    Definitely. If I am up against an opponent and I see him on a half stack instantly my mind is going throiugh the numerical progrerssions. What are the odds he is giving me? What is the most this will cost me? Based on his smaller stack size how many times out of ten do I have to be right to make this pay? And finally I will admit that the thought does go through my head, yes I can call the flop bet because he can't burn me too too much with the turn bet because it's just not enough in his stack to hurt me.

    Play well.

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  2. I have not looked at the AFq previously. Now that I see the numbers and with your explanation I can see how I am misplaying a lot and how others are capitalizing on it. Time to tighten up and play my hands more aggressively.

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